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\u0628\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u064a\u062a\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0627\u0647\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u0649 \u062c\u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u0641\u0648\u0641\u0627\u062a \u060c \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u062c\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645\u0647 \u0644\u0644\u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u0640\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u0649 SPSS<\/strong> \u00ff \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0625\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0644\u0647\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0644\u0648\u0628\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644\u0647\u0627 .<\/p>\n\n\n\n Nature of Econometrics<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n 1-1 \u062a\u0639\u0631\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0649<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1-2 \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0649 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1-3 \u0623\u0647\u062f\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0649 .<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1-4 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631\u0649 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u0649<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1-5 \u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0641\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0649<\/p>\n\n\n\n Economic Models <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n 2-1 \u062a\u0639\u0631\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0649 .<\/p>\n\n\n\n 2-2 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0640\u0640\u0640\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0640\u0640\u0640\u0648\u0630\u062c .<\/p>\n\n\n\n 2-3 \u0645\u0639\u0640\u0640\u0640\u0640\u0640\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0640\u0640\u0648\u0630\u062c .<\/p>\n\n\n\n 2-4 \u0623\u0646\u0640\u0640\u0640\u0648\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 .<\/p>\n\n\n\n Simple Linear Regression Model<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n 3-1 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u063a\u0631\u0649 .<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3-2 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0633\u064a\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3-3 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0648\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0635\u0629 \u0628\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0633\u064a\u0637 .<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3-4 \u062e\u0635\u0627\u0626\u0635 \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u063a\u0631\u0649 .<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3-5 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0648\u0627\u0626\u0649.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3-6 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0649 \u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u063a\u0631\u0649 .<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3\u20137 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u0649 \u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0633\u064a\u0637<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3\u20137\u20131 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3\u20137\u20132 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0642\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3\u20138 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u064a\u0646 Y \u060c x2<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3\u20138\u20131 \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0641\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639 \u064a\u0633\u0627\u0648\u0649 \u0635\u0641\u0631<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3\u20138\u20132 \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0641\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0633\u0627\u0648\u0649 \u0635\u0641\u0631<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3\u20139 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3\u201310 \u0631\u0633\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0648\u0627\u0642\u0640\u0640\u0640\u0640\u0640\u0649<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3\u201311 \u0645\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645<\/p>\n\n\n\n Multiple Linear Regression Model<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n 4\u20131 \u0645\u0642\u0640\u0640\u062f\u0645\u0640\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 4\u20132 \u0625\u064a\u062c\u0627\u062f \u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0635\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a<\/p>\n\n\n\n 4\u20133 \u0625\u064a\u062c\u0627\u062f \u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u0631\u0627\u0641\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637\u0627\u062a<\/p>\n\n\n\n 4\u20134 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0646\u0635\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u0626\u064a\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 4\u20135 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f<\/p>\n\n\n\n 4\u20135\u20131 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f<\/p>\n\n\n\n 4\u20135\u20132 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0642\u0640\u0640\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0640\u0645<\/p>\n\n\n\n 4\u20135\u20133 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f<\/p>\n\n\n\n 4\u20135\u20134 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 <\/p>\n\n\n\n The General Linear Regression Model<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n 5\u20131 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u0640\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0640\u0649<\/p>\n\n\n\n 5\u20132 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0648\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0649 \u064a\u0642\u0648\u0645 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645<\/p>\n\n\n\n 5\u20133 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 5\u20134 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0645\u0635\u0641\u0648\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a<\/p>\n\n\n\n 5\u20135 \u062e\u0648\u0627\u0635 \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u063a\u0631\u0649 <\/p>\n\n\n\n 5\u20136 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0648\u0627\u0626\u0649 <\/p>\n\n\n\n 5\u20137 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f <\/p>\n\n\n\n 5\u20138 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645<\/p>\n\n\n\n 5\u20139 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0642\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639<\/p>\n\n\n\n 5-10 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 ( \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 F )<\/p>\n\n\n\n 5\u201311 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0641\u0649 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u0631\u0627\u0641\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637\u0627\u062a<\/p>\n\n\n\n Special Topics In Regression Analysis<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n 6\u20131 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 <\/p>\n\n\n\n 6\u20131\u20131 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u063a\u0631\u0649 \u0641\u0649 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u062a\u062d\u062a \u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6\u20131\u20132 \u0627\u0634\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0642 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u063a\u0631\u0649 \u062a\u062d\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 ( ) .<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6\u20131\u20133 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0640\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0640\u0640\u0629 .<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6\u20132 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0633\u0646 \u0641\u0649 \u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a\u0642 \u0628\u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6\u20133 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u062a\u0633\u0627\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0641\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u062a\u0649 \u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 Chow test<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6\u20134 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u062b\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0632\u062f\u0627\u062f \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6\u20135 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0642\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0640\u0624<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6\u20136 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0642 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6-7 \u062a\u0642\u0640\u062f\u064a\u0640\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0640\u0640\u0627\u062a \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0640\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6\u20138 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u064a\u0640\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u0649 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u0640\u062f\u0627\u0631<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6\u20138\u20131 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u062a\u0642\u064a\u064a\u0645 \u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6\u20138\u20132 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u064a\u0640\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0627\u0645\u0640\u0640\u0649<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6\u20138\u20133 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0640\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0640\u0630\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0644\u0641\u0640\u0640\u0640\u0649<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6\u20138\u20134 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0640\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u0640\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0640\u062f\u0631\u062c<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6\u20139 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u0640\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0640\u0629 ( \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0629 )<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6\u20139-1 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0640\u0640\u0627\u064a\u0640\u0640\u0646<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6\u20139\u20132 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0640\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u0640\u0623\u064a\u0640\u0640\u0631<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6\u20139\u20133 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0641\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0640\u0640\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6\u201310 \u062a\u063a\u064a\u064a\u0631 \u0648\u062d\u0640\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0640\u0640\u0631\u0627\u062a<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6\u201310\u20131 \u062a\u063a\u064a\u064a\u0631 \u0648\u062d\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 Y<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0641\u0647\u0631\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0627\u0628<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6\u201310\u20132 \u062a\u063a\u064a\u064a\u0631 \u0648\u062d\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644 \u0641\u0642\u0637<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6\u201310\u20133 \u062a\u063a\u064a\u064a\u0631 \u0648\u062d\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u064b Y \u060c X<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6-11 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0640\u0648\u064a\u0640\u0640\u0644\u0627\u062a<\/p>\n\n\n\n Criteria and Statistical Tests For Model Selection<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n 7-1 \u0645\u0642\u0640\u062f\u0645\u0640\u0640\u0640\u0640\u0640\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 7\u20132 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0648\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u062a\u0642\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0648\u0636 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u062a\u0642\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 7\u20132\u20131 \u0645\u0641\u0647\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0648\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u062a\u0642\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 7\u20132\u20132 \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u064a\u064a\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0635\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0648\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u062a\u0642\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1 ) \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0640\u0640\u0627\u0631 F<\/p>\n\n\n\n 2 ) \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0638\u0645<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3 ) \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 <\/p>\n\n\n\n 7\u20132\u20133 \u0645\u0641\u0647\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u062a\u0642\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u0623\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064b : \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0633\u0648\u0646 \u0648\u0645\u0643\u064a\u0646\u0648\u0646 (J test)<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627\u064b : \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 (No test) Cox<\/p>\n\n\n\n 7\u20133 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 ( \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0649 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u063a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062a\u0645\u0649 )<\/p>\n\n\n\n 7\u20133\u20131 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f <\/p>\n\n\n\n 7\u20133\u20132 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0640\u0629 \u0633\u0627\u0631\u062c\u0640\u0640\u0627\u0646<\/p>\n\n\n\n 7\u20133\u20133 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0640\u0629 \u0645\u0640\u0627\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0627<\/p>\n\n\n\n 7\u20133\u20134 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639 \u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0621<\/p>\n\n\n\n 7\u20133\u20135 \u062a\u062d\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0640\u0629 \u0628\u0648\u0643\u0640\u0633 \u0648\u0643\u0648\u0643\u0640\u0633<\/p>\n\n\n\n 7\u20133\u20136 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0643\u064a\u0646\u0648\u0646 \u2013 \u0648\u0627\u064a\u062a \u2013 \u062f\u0627\u0641\u064a\u062f\u0633\u0648\u0646 MWD Test<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0645\u0640\u0646 : \u062a\u0639\u0645\u064a\u0645 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u063a\u0631\u0649<\/p>\n\n\n\n 8-1 \u0645\u0642\u0640\u062f\u0645\u0640\u0640\u0640\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 8\u20132 \u062a\u062d\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0635\u0644\u0640\u0640\u0649<\/p>\n\n\n\n 8\u20133 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0640\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u0640\u062f\u0627\u0631<\/p>\n\n\n\n 9\u20131\u20131 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u062b\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0649 \u0644\u0641\u0631\u0636 \u062b\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646\u0627\u062a<\/p>\n\n\n\n 9\u20131\u20132 \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0642\u0634\u0629 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u062b\u0628\u0627\u062a \u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0621<\/p>\n\n\n\n 9\u20131-3 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u062b\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u0633\u0642\u0627\u0637 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u062b\u0628\u0627\u062a \u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0621<\/p>\n\n\n\n 9\u20131\u20134 \u0637\u0631\u0642 \u0623\u0643\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0641 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0627\u0641 \u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0621<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1 ) \u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u0640\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0640\u0640\u0640\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 2 ) \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0640\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0640\u0640\u0640\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3 ) \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0623\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u062a\u0628 (\u0633\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0645\u0627\u0646)<\/p>\n\n\n\n 4 ) \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u062c\u0648\u0644\u062f \u0641\u064a\u0644\u062f \u0648\u0643\u0648\u0627\u0646\u062f\u062a<\/p>\n\n\n\n 5 ) \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0640\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0640\u0640\u0627\u0631\u0643 (Park test)<\/p>\n\n\n\n 6 ) \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u062c\u0644\u064a\u062c\u0633\u0631 (Glejser test)<\/p>\n\n\n\n 7 ) \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 Preusch-Pagan Godfrey ( BPG test)<\/p>\n\n\n\n 9\u20131\u20135 \u0639\u0644\u0627\u062c \u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0627\u0641 \u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0621<\/p>\n\n\n\n ” \u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u062a\u0649 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0621 “<\/p>\n\n\n\n 9\u20132\u20131 \u0623\u0633\u0628\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u062a\u0649 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0621<\/p>\n\n\n\n 9\u20132\u20132 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u062b\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u062a\u0649 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0621<\/p>\n\n\n\n 9\u20132\u20133 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u062a\u0649 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0621<\/p>\n\n\n\n 9\u20132\u20134 \u0623\u0643\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u062a\u0649 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u062f\u0631\u0628\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0637\u0633\u0648\u0646 (DW test )<\/p>\n\n\n\n 9\u20132\u20135 \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 d* \u060c <\/p>\n\n\n\n 9 \u20132\u20136 \u0639\u0644\u0627\u062c \u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u062a\u0649 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0621<\/p>\n\n\n\n 9\u20133\u20131 \u0645\u0641\u0647\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0632\u062f\u0648\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0649 <\/p>\n\n\n\n 9\u20133\u20132 \u0623\u0633\u0628\u0627\u0628 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0632\u062f\u0648\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0649<\/p>\n\n\n\n 9\u20133\u20133 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u062b\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0632\u062f\u0648\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0649<\/p>\n\n\n\n 9\u20133\u20134 \u0637\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0643\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0632\u062f\u0648\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0649<\/p>\n\n\n\n 9\u20133\u20135 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0632\u062f\u0648\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0649<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1 ) \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0640\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0628\u0642\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 2 ) \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0645\u0639 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3 ) \u062d\u0630\u0641 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0649 \u0623\u0648 \u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631\u064a\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 4 ) \u062a\u062d\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0640\u0640\u0640\u0640\u0631\u0627\u062a<\/p>\n\n\n\n 5 ) \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0623\u0633\u0644\u0648\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u062a\u0631\u0645\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0631 Ridge Regression<\/p>\n\n\n\n Simultaneous-Equations Models<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n 10-1 \u0645\u0642\u0640\u062f\u0645\u0640\u0640\u0640\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 10-2 \u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u0649 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0646\u064a\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 10\u20133 \u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0640\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u064a\u064a\u0640\u0640\u0632<\/p>\n\n\n\n 10\u20134 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0645 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0640\u0648\u0630\u062c<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u0623\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064b : \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u063a\u0631\u0649 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631\u0629 (ILS)<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627\u064b : \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u063a\u0631\u0649 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0631\u062d\u0644\u062a\u064a\u0646 (2SLS)<\/p>\n\n\n\n A simple Approach to Time Series Regression Models ” Some Basic Concepts “<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n 11\u20131 \u0645\u0642\u0640\u0640\u062f\u0645\u0640\u0640\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 11\u20132 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0635\u0627\u0626\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0635\u0641\u0629 \u0633\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 11\u20133 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0643\u0646\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n 11-3-1 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0648\u0627\u0626\u0649 \u0628\u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u062b\u0627\u0628\u062a<\/p>\n\n\n\n 11-3-2 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0648\u0627\u0626\u0649 \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u062b\u0627\u0628\u062a<\/p>\n\n\n\n 11\u20134 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0643\u0648\u0646<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1 ) \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u062a\u0649 (ACF)<\/p>\n\n\n\n 2 ) \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 statistic Q \u060c LB statistic<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3 ) \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u062c\u0630\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0633\u0643\u0648\u0646 Unit Root test<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u0623 – \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u062f\u064a\u0643\u0649 \u0641\u0648\u0644\u0644\u0631 ( DF test)<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u0628 \u2013 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u062f\u064a\u0643\u0649 \u0641\u0648\u0644\u0644\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0633\u0639 (ADF test )<\/p>\n\n\n\n 11\u2013 5 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u062a\u0631\u0643<\/p>\n\n\n\n 11\u20135\u20131 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u062a\u0631\u0643<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1 ) \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0646\u062c\u0644 \u2013 \u062c\u0631\u0627\u0646\u062c\u0631 (EG test)<\/p>\n\n\n\n 2 ) \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0644\u062f\u0631\u0628\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0637\u0633\u0648\u0646 (CRDW)<\/p>\n\n\n\n 11\u20136 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u062a\u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0640\u0623 (ECM)<\/p>\n\n\n\n 11\u20137 \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0628\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0646\u062c\u0631 ( Granger Causality )<\/p>\n\n\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0649 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u0649 \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 – \u0645\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u062d\u062f\u064a\u062b \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 (SPSS) – \u0643\u062a\u0627\u0628 \u0644\u0644\u062f\u0643\u062a\u0648\u0631 \u0645\u062d\u0645\u062f \u0639\u0628\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0645\u064a\u0639 \u0639\u0646\u0627\u0646\u0649 -\u0628\u0643\u0627\u0644\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0633 \u062a\u062c\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0634\u0639\u0628\u0629 \u0645\u062d\u0627\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u062f\u0648\u0631 \u0645\u0627\u06cc\u0648 \u06f1\u06f9\u06f7\u06f2 \u0628\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u062c\u064a\u062f \u062c\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0639\u064a\u0646 \u0634\u0645\u0633 . \u06f2- \u062f\u0628\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621 \u0645\u0627\u064a\u0648 \u06f1\u06f9\u06f7\u06f6 \u0628\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u062c\u064a\u062f \u062c\u062f\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u0647\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621 \u2013 \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u0647\u0631\u0629 . \u0662- \u0645\u0627\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621 \u0645\u0646 \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0645\u0627\u0646\u0634\u0633\u062a\u0631 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: \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0634\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639<\/h5>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n\u0648\u064a\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0644\u0641 \u0643\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0628\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0637\u0648\u0644\u0629 .. \u0630\u0643\u0631\u0627 \u0641\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u0649 :<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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\n\n\n\n\u0648\u0627\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0642\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u062d\u062f\u0649 \u0639\u0634\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0628 \u062a\u062a\u0646\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 :<\/mark><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n\u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644 : \u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0649<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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\n\n\n\n\u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0633\u0640\u0639 : \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0645\u0634\u0627\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0640\u0640\u0627\u0633<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0635\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644 : \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u062a\u062e\u0644\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0635 \u0628\u062b\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646\u0627\u062a ” \u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646\u0627\u062a “<\/mark><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0635\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u0649 : \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u062a\u062e\u0644\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0635 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0621<\/mark><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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\n\n\n\n\u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0634\u0631 : \u0646\u0645\u0640\u0640\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0640\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0646\u064a\u0640\u0629<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n\u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u062f\u0649 \u0639\u0634\u0631 : \u0645\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0645\u0628\u0633\u0637 \u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629” \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0627\u0647\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629”<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n